Four accounts on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket that placed large bets on former President Donald Trump winning the 2024 election, and have been the subject of much online speculation, are owned by non-Americans or a non-American,

Four Polymarket accounts that appear to be connected have bet $30 million that Trump will win the election, according to Arkham Intelligence.

Roughly 60% betting odds does not equate to a 60% to 40% lead for Trump in polls, but rather indicates election bettors expect Trump to win about 60 out of 100 election si

After trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in the betting markets for 26 consecutive days, former President Donald Trump has pulled ahead.

With under three weeks until the presidential election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets, showing a 60% chance of victory. Betting dynamics suggest potential influence from significant bets totaling $30 million.

Trump has touted his lead in the election betting markets as a sign of the election tilting in his favor, while billionaire Elon Musk has declared betting odds more accurate than polls.