Second, asset prices should lead the business cycle. Are these two features borne out by the ... real equity price changes are one of the most useful predictors of recession starts. Chart 2 portrays ...

Wall Street fears a recession may be coming ... In fact, it has been argued that the housing cycle is important enough to drive the overall business cycle. We’ve seen home prices weaken since ...

Periods during which a business, an industry or the entire economy expands and contracts Many business cycles are anything ... of inflation and, later, recession as the economy cools down.

Except for the Covid-19 lockdown, the U.S. economy hasn’t suffered a recession since the 2008-09 financial crisis, more than ...

It officially declared the last pandemic-driven recession, which lasted from March to April 2020, in July 2021. The problem that the institution's business-dating-cycle program was created to ...

The US economy is flashing a classic recession warning that has only shown a false positive once in the last century, according to top economist Lakshman Achuthan. The business-cycle expert and ...

The Manufacturing Coincident Index declined more than 4% in the 1990 recession ... driving the ebbs and flows of the overall Business Cycle. The chart below shows the percentage decline for ...

Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. I cover the economic and financial world outside the USA, for the USA. Imagine if some of the key patterns in our lives, the length and ...

With November's gain, the LEI no longer signals an impending recession, The Conference Board added. The LEI is a predictive variable that anticipates turning points in the business cycle by around ...