We warn investors of recession signals in the resolved yield curve, questioning Biden officials' role in bond market effects.

The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...

In an email of his data, the yield curve’s slope turned negative 19 months ahead of the November 1973–March 1975 downturn and ...

The 2020 recession wasn’t part of the normal cycle. Going into that year, the economy had issues but was hardly overheated.

Since the Fed tends to ease policy when the economy hits a snag, such disinversion has heightened investors’ concern about ...

Expectations for higher valuations, a reluctant Fed and negative economic indicators all point to a pullback, he said.

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The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...