Bottom line, the dollar’s giant gains cannot continue indefinitely and when they stop, it could be a horrible crash. That’s ...

We document the size of that risk premium in the graph below, which shows the zero-coupon yield ... the future probability of ...

The term premium is meant to measure duration risk, or the risk inherent in owning a Treasury that matures in 10 years ...

Potential correction, gold vs. dollar dynamics, U.S. dollar and more. Click here to find out more about the market outlook.

Long-term musing: As many have suspected for some time, nowhere is inflation coming down to central bank targets of 2%. As ...

Trudeau out, Trump in, tariffs up, trade down – as Canadians embark on 2025, it’s clear this will be a year of upheaval ...

Extreme bond market agitation has put the Federal Reserve in a bind. It can either cool long-term inflation fears or ...

But there is an important catch. Central banks generally make rapid interest rate cuts when they are worried about the ...

Further divergencies from the seemingly strong macroeconomic data are found in consumer loan delinquencies. Credit card and auto loan delinquencies have spiked upward, and along with those, so have ...

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have both felt pressure as shares of major tech companies came under pressure Monday. Investors ...

India's GDP growth rate decline, official estimates questioned, and economic slowdown analysis by experts and academics.

Apparently unbeknownst to my Republican friends, the effort to cut ‘government waste’ has a long, bipartisan, history in the ...