Axis My India predicted a vote share of 48% for BJP and its allies and a drop in AAP’s vote share from 53.57% in 2020 to 42% this time around.

Axis My India, run by psephologist Pradeep Gupta, predicted that the BJP would win between 45 to 55 seats. It predicted the BJP and its allies would secure a 48 percent vote share. The AAP was given 15-25 seats and a vote share of 42 percent. Keeping the Congress at a distant third, Axis My India predicted 0 to 1 seats for the grand old party.

The Quint looks at the detailed findings from these surveys to identify which section -- women, students, middle income groups, Muslims and Dalits -- preferred which political party in these elections and why.