Trump, Polymarket
Opinion
No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
It seems likely that a small group of traders (or possibly a lone individual) have pushed up former President Donald Trump’s odds on Polymarket, the crypto-based prediction market, by heavily betting on the Republican nominee.
Polymarket Prediction Platform Possibly Manipulated to Favor Trump: Report
Trump's odds of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris have mysteriously surged on the platform in recent weeks.
$30 Million Is All It Took to Shift the Odds in Trump’s Favor on Polymarket
The huge buy is further proof that predictive betting sites are only a reflection of what degenerate gamblers are willing to spend.
Trump’s Polymarket Odds Top 60%: How Election Betting Markets Differ From Polls
Roughly 60% betting odds does not equate to a 60% to 40% lead for Trump in polls, but rather indicates election bettors expect Trump to win about 60 out of 100 election si
Trump Leads Polymarket Presidential Odds with a Massive $26M Bet
While conventional polls show the upcoming November election to be a close call, Polymarket, a prediction platform, suggests a different outcome. A total of $26 million in bets, potentially from a single source, have tipped the odds in favor of Donald Trump, the GOP candidate, giving him a significant lead over his Democratic rival, Kamala Harris.
What to know about the potential $30 million whale moving betting markets toward Trump
Four Polymarket accounts that appear to be connected have bet $30 million that Trump will win the election, according to Arkham Intelligence.
Betting Market That Touts Massive Trump Win ‘Is Being Manipulated’: Experts
A betting market that is being touted by Donald Trump’s supporters as proof that he will win the election has been manipulated by multi-million dollar wagers to make him appear certain of victory, experts are warning.
‘Influenced’: Handful Of Bettors Dump Millions On Trump, Massively Skewing Betting Odds
A handful of bettors are putting up millions of dollars on former President Donald Trump winning the election, skewing what
Mystery overseas account increases its Trump bids on Polymarket betting site
One of the four accounts on Polymarket that have fueled speculation over their large bets on a Trump election victory has ...
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
By contrast, the industry leader Polymarket prohibits U.S traders from the platform but does not require a know-your-customer ...
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High-Stakes Bets Surge on Trump's Election Chances in Polymarket Frenzy
Significant bets on Polymarket have increased the potential payout for a Trump election victory to $43 million. These bets, by non-American accounts, have raised eyebrows due to their contrast with ...
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The single bettor swaying the Trump-Harris betting pair on Polymarket
Polymarket betting on the US Presidential elections outcome is pointing toward a clear winner - but this may be the work of a ...
Polymarket whale raises Trump odds, sparking manipulation concerns
Polymarket whale “Fredi9999” raises concerns about potential manipulation as Trump’s odds surge on the platform, impacting ...
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The Polymarket Bubble: Everyone Is Betting on the US Election
Learn more. Please also consider subscribing to WIRED On Sunday, a quote-tweet from Musk sent former president Donald Trump’s ...
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US Presidential Election Tops $2 Billion in Betting Volume on Polymarket
Trump is currently leading the Polymarket betting pool on the winner of the U.S. election, which has topped $2 billion in ...
Arizona: The Rising Swing State Leaning Trump So Far On Polymarket
Polymarket bettors believe Trump has higher chances of taking Arizona in this year's elections, but Harris still has a chance ...