The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates ...

A prominent financial advisor has warned of an impending recession, partly triggered by the 'brutal impact of rising rates.' ...

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 696.75 points, or 1.63%, to close at 41,938.45. The S&P 500 slid 1.54% to 5,827.04, ...

Extreme bond market agitation has put the Federal Reserve in a bind. It can either cool long-term inflation fears or ...

Further divergencies from the seemingly strong macroeconomic data are found in consumer loan delinquencies. Credit card and auto loan delinquencies have spiked upward, and along with those, so have ...

Household survey data shows recessionary trends with rising unemployment, decreasing employment, & longer duration ...

We lean against market moves driven by other interpretations and expect volatility. U.S. stocks surged more than 20% in 2024, ...

Recessions were mostly avoided, inflation returned to around 2% and labor markets remained strong but no longer strained. You ...

Gold has been consolidating since the U.S. presidential election, but it may soon be poised to resume its upward climb.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York regularly attempts to calculate the probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 ...

Today, the jobless claims data again showed why mortgage rates are still elevated, confirming that the labor market isn’t ...

Many economists and others have felt relief over continued GDP growth. But data like this suggest that the foundation of the economy is cracking.