The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by ...

Seasoned investors could see an overwhelming consensus for ever-more growth as a red flag, and if the worst does happen, it ...

Despite relatively high interest rates, the chance of a recession in 2025 is estimated to be relatively low, though that ...

Suze Orman isn’t just a great resource for people looking to learn a bit more about how to be better with money, but she’s ...

Yield curve un-inversion sparks fears of stock market collapse. Historical track record seen as reliable recession predictor.

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

The recent finding reveals a recent yield curve un-inversion, which opens the possibility of a recession, but will it impact ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates ...

"It makes the yield curve causal," Harvey said. "This causality channel is much different than in the past." And the inversion itself also isn't the final call on a recession, as experts have ...

In an email of his data, the yield curve’s slope turned negative 19 months ahead of the November 1973–March 1975 downturn and ...

Jerome Powell claims we've avoided a recession, but I disagree, citing the steepening yield curves and other macro indicators pointing towards an economic bust. The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve steepening ...

One year ago, most forecasts were less optimistic about the opportunity for continued economic expansion through 2024.